DL 744 · TPA → ATL

took off 8:53 AM ET · landed 10:02 AM ET (scheduled 8:45 AM ET → 10:15 AM ET)

Forecast issued Wed 11:00 AM ET · 2h after departure

Arrive at ATL more than 15 minutes late?

Not late chance · ±1 pts +4 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to ATL?

RESOLVED

On time or early
✓
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 200 ft, visibility down to 0.5 mi forecast at ATL that day

↑ Other factors

↑ ATL is busy at that time

↓ Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average

↓ 8am departures from TPA are usually not late

Weather at each end

TPA (origin) Gusts10 kt Ceiling6,000 ft Visibility9 mi Precip0.14 in

ATL (destination) Gusts10 kt Ceiling200 ft Visibility0.5 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

DL 744 · TPA → ATL

Odds over time

How late did it get to ATL?