DL 816 · SAT → BOS

took off 3:07 PM CT · expected to land 7:59 PM ET (scheduled 1:20 PM CT → 6:47 PM ET)

Forecast issued Wed 3:00 PM ET · 1h after departure

Arrive at BOS more than 15 minutes late?

100% chance · ±0 pts +7 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to BOS?

LIVE

On time or early
0%
15–30 min late
0%
30 min–1 hour late
2%
1–2 hours late
98%
Over 2 hours late
0%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%; while it’s in the air they come from the FAA’s arrival estimate.

What’s moving the odds

↑ This flight has been late 38% of the time recently

↑ Arrivals into BOS at that hour are often late

↑ Cloud base down to 1,300 ft forecast at SAT that day

↓ Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

SAT (origin) Gusts23 kt Ceiling1,300 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.05 in

BOS (destination) Gusts8 kt Ceiling700 ft Visibility2 mi Precip0.02 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

DL 816 · SAT → BOS

Odds over time

How late will it get to BOS?