DL 836 · ATL → PHX

departs 5:59 PM ET · arrives 6:53 PM MT

Forecast issued Wed 8:00 AM ET · 10h before departure

Arrive at PHX more than 15 minutes late?

33% chance · ±0 pts +13 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to PHX?

On time or early
67%
15–30 min late
23%
30 min–1 hour late
1%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 5pm departures from ATL are often late

↑ Arrivals into PHX at that hour are often late

↑ PHX is prone to delays

↓ Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at PHX

Weather at each end

ATL (origin) Gusts11 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

PHX (destination) Gusts6 kt Ceiling11,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

DL 836 · ATL → PHX

Odds over time

How late will it get to PHX?