DL 840 · DEN → ATL

departs 4:35 PM MT · arrives 9:53 PM ET

Forecast issued Wed 9:00 AM ET · 10h before departure

Arrive at ATL more than 15 minutes late?

29% chance · ±0 pts −17 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to ATL?

On time or early
71%
15–30 min late
6%
30 min–1 hour late
18%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 4pm departures from DEN are often late

↑ DEN is busy at that time

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average

↓ Cloud base down to 500 ft, visibility down to 0.5 mi forecast at ATL that day

Weather at each end

DEN (origin) Gusts18 kt Ceiling6,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.07 in

ATL (destination) Gusts11 kt Ceiling500 ft Visibility0.5 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

DL 840 · DEN → ATL

Odds over time

How late will it get to ATL?