Schedule: a typical Wednesday (the flights of Jul 29, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.

DELTA · FLIGHT DL 844 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Wednesday, September 30 Today

DL 844 · DTW → MSN

departs 12:26 PM ET · arrives 12:42 PM CT

Forecast issued Wed 6:00 PM ET · 6h after departure

Arrive at MSN more than 15 minutes late?

14% chance · ±0 pts +3 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to MSN?

On time or early
85%
15–30 min late
6%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 367 ft, visibility down to 1.5 mi, 0.3 in of rain forecast at MSN that day

↑ Other factors

↑ 12pm departures from DTW are often late

↓ Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average

↓ MSN usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

DTW (origin) Gusts12 kt Ceiling6,000 ft Visibility8 mi Precip0.02 in

MSN (destination) Gusts11 kt Ceiling367 ft Visibility1.5 mi Precip0.30 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

DL 844 · DTW → MSN

Odds over time

How late will it get to MSN?