Schedule: a typical summer Wednesday (the flights of Jul 29, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 851SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
DL 851 · MEM → ATL
departs 11:38 AM CT · arrives 1:59 PM ET
Forecast issued Wed 10:00 PM ET · 9h after departure
Odds over time
Arrive at ATL more than 15 minutes late?
11%chance · ±0 pts+4 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE AREVery high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
How late will it get to ATL?
On time or early
88%
15–30 min late
3%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.