Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

DELTA · FLIGHT DL 8950 LANDED 1:15 AM ET, ~6 MIN LATE · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Wednesday, September 30

DL 8950 · BOS → EWR

took off 12:30 AM ET · landed 1:15 AM ET (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Wed 10:00 PM ET · 22h after departure

Arrive at EWR more than 15 minutes late?

22% chance · ±0 pts +3 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Arrivals into EWR at that hour are often late

↑ This route's recent record

↑ EWR is prone to delays

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ 12am departures from BOS are usually not late

Weather at each end

BOS (origin) Gusts8 kt Ceiling700 ft Visibility2 mi Precip0.02 in

EWR (destination) Gusts17 kt Ceiling2,600 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

DL 8950 · BOS → EWR

Odds over time