DL 910 · LAX → TPA

departs 10:34 PM PT · arrives 6:16 AM ET

Forecast issued Wed 5:00 PM ET · 9h before departure

Arrive at TPA more than 15 minutes late?

17% chance · ±0 pts +0 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to TPA?

On time or early
82%
15–30 min late
8%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ 10pm departures from LAX are often late

↑ Mostly benign weather forecast at TPA

↓ Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average

↓ Cloud base down to 1,000 ft forecast at LAX that day

Weather at each end

LAX (origin) Gusts8 kt Ceiling1,000 ft Visibility7 mi Precipnone

TPA (destination) Gusts10 kt Ceiling11,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.25 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

DL 910 · LAX → TPA

Odds over time

How late will it get to TPA?