F9 1408 · ATL → BUF

took off 11:00 AM ET · landed 12:50 PM ET (scheduled 11:45 AM ET → 1:53 PM ET)

Forecast issued Wed 2:00 PM ET · 2h after departure

Arrive at BUF more than 15 minutes late?

Not late chance · ±0 pts +8 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to BUF?

RESOLVED

On time or early
✓
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ F9's recent on-time record

↑ This flight has been late 28% of the time recently

↑ ATL is busy at that time

↓ Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at BUF

Weather at each end

ATL (origin) Gusts10 kt Ceiling200 ft Visibility0.5 mi Precipnone

BUF (destination) Gusts20 kt Ceiling7,000 ft Visibility8 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

F9 1408 · ATL → BUF

Odds over time

How late did it get to BUF?