Schedule: a typical Wednesday (the flights of Jul 29, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
FRONTIER · FLIGHT F9 1477
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, September 30 Today
F9 1477 · FLL → CVG
departs 5:51 PM ET · arrives 8:35 PM ET
Forecast issued Wed 2:00 AM ET · 16h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Fri 10/2 42%
Mon 10/5 34%
Odds over time
Arrive at CVG more than 15 minutes late?
42%
chance · ±1 pts
+10 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
42%
Leave 15+ late
35%
Arrive 1h+ late
14%
Cancelled
2%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
2.8d
2d
1d
Now
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at CVG more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 31% · changed +10 pts in 24h
+10 pts
42%
Yes 42%
No 58%
Leave FLL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 32% · changed +13 pts in 24h
+13 pts
35%
Yes 35%
No 65%
Arrive at CVG more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 8% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
14%
Yes 14%
No 86%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to CVG?
On time or early
56%
15–30 min late
14%
30 min–1 hour late
14%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
7%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
F9's recent on-time record
↑
0.7 in of rain forecast at FLL that day
↑
5pm departures from FLL are often late
↓
Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at CVG
Weather at each end
FLL (origin)
Gusts 15 kt Ceiling 4,500 ft Visibility 7 mi Precip 0.71 in
CVG (destination)
Gusts 12 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.