Schedule: a typical Wednesday (the flights of Jul 29, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
FRONTIER · FLIGHT F9 1544
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, September 30 Today
F9 1544 · CLE → RSW
departs 4:26 PM ET · arrives 7:14 PM ET
Forecast issued Wed 7:00 AM ET · 9h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Fri 10/2 45%
Mon 10/5 28%
Odds over time
Arrive at RSW more than 15 minutes late?
25%
chance · ±2 pts
+3 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
25%
Leave 15+ late
33%
Arrive 1h+ late
12%
Cancelled
2%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
2.9d
2d
1d
12h
Now
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at RSW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 19% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
25%
Yes 25%
No 75%
Leave CLE more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 24% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
33%
Yes 33%
No 67%
Arrive at RSW more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 8% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
12%
Yes 12%
No 88%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to RSW?
On time or early
73%
15–30 min late
3%
30 min–1 hour late
10%
1–2 hours late
8%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
0.4 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at RSW that day
↑
F9's recent on-time record
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at CLE
Weather at each end
CLE (origin)
Gusts 14 kt Ceiling 7,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
RSW (destination)
Gusts 11 kt Ceiling 7,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.36 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.