Schedule: a typical summer Wednesday (the flights of Jul 29, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
FRONTIER · FLIGHT F9 1745
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, September 30
F9 1745 · SJU → MCO
departs 8:37 PM AT · arrives 11:46 PM ET
Forecast issued Wed 10:00 PM ET · 1h after departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Wed 9/30
Today 58%
Thu 10/8 22%
Fri 10/9 32%
Odds over time
Arrive at MCO more than 15 minutes late?
24%
chance · ±0 pts
−5 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
Arrive 15+ late
24%
Leave 15+ late
28%
Arrive 1h+ late
9%
Cancelled
1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
2.8d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Now
Lands
Arrive at MCO more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 25% · changed −5 pts in 24h
−5 pts
24%
Yes 24%
No 76%
Leave SJU more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 31% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
28%
Yes 28%
No 72%
Arrive at MCO more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 9% · changed −4 pts in 24h
−4 pts
9%
Yes 9%
No 91%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 1% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to MCO?
On time or early
75%
15–30 min late
8%
30 min–1 hour late
8%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
F9's recent on-time record
↑
Mostly benign weather forecast at SJU
↑
Arrivals into MCO at that hour are often late
↓
Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average
↓
MCO usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
SJU (origin)
Gusts 24 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.07 in
MCO (destination)
Gusts 24 kt Ceiling 9,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.