Schedule: a typical Wednesday (the flights of Jul 29, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
FRONTIER · FLIGHT F9 1774
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, September 30 Today
F9 1774 · BWI → SJU
departs 12:35 PM ET · arrives 4:40 PM AT
Forecast issued Wed 2:00 PM ET · 1h after departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Thu 10/1 30%
Fri 10/2 28%
Sat 10/3 26%
Sun 10/4 26%
Mon 10/5 24%
Tue 10/6 20%
Odds over time
Arrive at SJU more than 15 minutes late?
26%
chance · ±0 pts
+3 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
Arrive 15+ late
26%
Leave 15+ late
30%
Arrive 1h+ late
8%
Cancelled
1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
2.8d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Now
Lands
Arrive at SJU more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 30% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
26%
Yes 26%
No 74%
Leave BWI more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 28% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
30%
Yes 30%
No 70%
Arrive at SJU more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 8% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
8%
Yes 8%
No 92%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to SJU?
On time or early
73%
15–30 min late
6%
30 min–1 hour late
12%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
F9's recent on-time record
↑
This flight has been late nan% of the time recently
↑
Mostly benign weather forecast at SJU
↓
Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at BWI
Weather at each end
BWI (origin)
Gusts 9 kt Ceiling 5,500 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
SJU (destination)
Gusts 24 kt Ceiling 3,500 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.11 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.