F9 1927 · OKC → DEN

departs 7:16 PM CT · arrives 8:07 PM MT

Forecast issued Wed 10:00 PM ET · 2h after departure

Arrive at DEN more than 15 minutes late?

50% chance · ±1 pts −19 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to DEN?

On time or early
48%
15–30 min late
11%
30 min–1 hour late
16%
1–2 hours late
9%
Over 2 hours late
11%
Cancelled
5%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Gusts to 30 kt, visibility down to 0.75 mi, 2.8 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at OKC that day

↑ Arrivals into DEN at that hour are often late

↑ Mostly benign weather forecast at DEN

↓ OKC usually runs smoothly

↓ Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

OKC (origin) Gusts30 kt Ceiling2,500 ft Visibility1 mi Precip1.62 in

DEN (destination) Gusts20 kt Ceiling8,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.03 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

F9 1927 · OKC → DEN

Odds over time

How late will it get to DEN?