Schedule: a typical Wednesday (the flights of Jul 29, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
FRONTIER · FLIGHT F9 2059
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, September 30 Tomorrow
F9 2059 · PHL → RDU
departs 7:20 AM ET · arrives 8:48 AM ET
Forecast issued Tue 5:00 PM ET · 14h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 16%
Wed 9/30
Thu 10/1 9%
Fri 10/2 14%
Sat 10/3 12%
Sun 10/4 10%
Mon 10/5 16%
Odds over time
Arrive at RDU more than 15 minutes late?
14%
chance · ±0 pts
+3 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
14%
Leave 15+ late
11%
Arrive 1h+ late
8%
Cancelled
<1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
2.8d
2d
1d
Now
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at RDU more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 11% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
14%
Yes 14%
No 86%
Leave PHL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 10% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
11%
Yes 11%
No 89%
Arrive at RDU more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
8%
Yes 8%
No 92%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to RDU?
On time or early
85%
15–30 min late
6%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
F9's recent on-time record
↑
PHL is prone to delays
↑
PHL is busy at that time
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at PHL
↓
Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
PHL (origin)
Gusts 7 kt Ceiling 6,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
RDU (destination)
Gusts 3 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 5 mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.