Schedule: a typical Wednesday (the flights of Jul 29, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
FRONTIER · FLIGHT F9 2107
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, September 30 Today
F9 2107 · FSD → DEN
departs 8:08 PM CT · arrives 9:01 PM MT
Forecast issued Wed 2:00 PM ET · 7h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Fri 10/2 24%
Mon 10/5 24%
Odds over time
Arrive at DEN more than 15 minutes late?
42%
chance · ±0 pts
−14 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
42%
Leave 15+ late
28%
Arrive 1h+ late
12%
Cancelled
1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
2.8d
2d
1d
12h
Now
Departs
Lands
Arrive at DEN more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 18% · changed −14 pts in 24h
−14 pts
42%
Yes 42%
No 58%
Leave FSD more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 18% · changed −14 pts in 24h
−14 pts
28%
Yes 28%
No 72%
Arrive at DEN more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 7% · changed −14 pts in 24h
−14 pts
12%
Yes 12%
No 88%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to DEN?
On time or early
57%
15–30 min late
20%
30 min–1 hour late
10%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Arrivals into DEN at that hour are often late
↑
F9's recent on-time record
↑
This flight has been late 27% of the time recently
↓
Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average
↓
FSD is quiet at that time
Weather at each end
FSD (origin)
Gusts 4 kt Ceiling 200 ft Visibility 0.13 mi Precip none
DEN (destination)
Gusts 15 kt Ceiling 7,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.04 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.