Schedule: a typical Wednesday (the flights of Jul 29, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
FRONTIER · FLIGHT F9 2148
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, September 30 Yesterday
F9 2148 · DEN → DFW
departs 5:23 PM MT · arrives 8:36 PM CT
Forecast issued Wed 10:00 PM ET · 3h after departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Wed 9/30
Today 75%
Fri 10/2 58%
Sat 10/3 47%
Sun 10/4 46%
Mon 10/5 35%
Tue 10/6 23%
Wed 10/7 22%
Odds over time
Arrive at DFW more than 15 minutes late?
77%
chance · ±0 pts
−9 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
Arrive 15+ late
77%
Leave 15+ late
48%
Arrive 1h+ late
33%
Cancelled
7%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
25%
50%
75%
100%
2.8d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at DFW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 65% · changed −9 pts in 24h
−9 pts
77%
Yes 77%
No 23%
Leave DEN more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 45% · changed −17 pts in 24h
−17 pts
48%
Yes 48%
No 52%
Arrive at DFW more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 22% · changed −5 pts in 24h
−5 pts
33%
Yes 33%
No 67%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
7%
Yes 7%
No 93%
How late will it get to DFW?
On time or early
22%
15–30 min late
16%
30 min–1 hour late
24%
1–2 hours late
17%
Over 2 hours late
14%
Cancelled
7%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Gusts to 30 kt, 0.4 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at DFW that day
↑
Arrivals into DFW at that hour are often late
↑
5pm departures from DEN are often late
↓
Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average
↓
Other factors
Weather at each end
DEN (origin)
Gusts 20 kt Ceiling 8,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.03 in
DFW (destination)
Gusts 30 kt Ceiling 2,000 ft Visibility 5 mi Precip 0.25 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.