F9 2356 · DEN → SAT

took off 4:22 PM MT · landed 7:11 PM CT (scheduled 3:30 PM MT → 6:44 PM CT)

Forecast issued Wed 10:00 PM ET · 4h after departure

Arrive at SAT more than 15 minutes late?

Late chance · ±0 pts −21 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to SAT?

RESOLVED

On time or early
–
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
✓
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ F9's recent on-time record

↑ 3pm departures from DEN are often late

↑ DEN is busy at that time

↓ Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

DEN (origin) Gusts20 kt Ceiling8,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.03 in

SAT (destination) Gusts21 kt Ceiling1,300 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.23 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

F9 2356 · DEN → SAT

Odds over time

How late did it get to SAT?