F9 2409 · CLE → ATL

departs 3:46 PM ET · arrives 5:49 PM ET

Forecast issued Wed 1:00 PM ET · 3h before departure

Arrive at ATL more than 15 minutes late?

29% chance · ±0 pts +4 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to ATL?

On time or early
71%
15–30 min late
13%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ F9's recent on-time record

↑ This flight has been late 27% of the time recently

↑ Arrivals into ATL at that hour are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at CLE

↓ Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

CLE (origin) Gusts13 kt Ceiling7,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

ATL (destination) Gusts10 kt Ceiling200 ft Visibility0.5 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

F9 2409 · CLE → ATL

Odds over time

How late will it get to ATL?