F9 2498 · IND → ATL

departs 7:35 PM ET · arrives 9:29 PM ET

Forecast issued Wed 6:00 AM ET · 14h before departure

Arrive at ATL more than 15 minutes late?

23% chance · ±2 pts +11 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to ATL?

On time or early
76%
15–30 min late
5%
30 min–1 hour late
9%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ F9's recent on-time record

↑ Arrivals into ATL at that hour are often late

↑ This flight has been late 31% of the time recently

↓ Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at ATL

Weather at each end

IND (origin) Gusts13 kt Ceiling9,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

ATL (destination) Gusts11 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

F9 2498 · IND → ATL

Odds over time

How late will it get to ATL?