Schedule: a typical Wednesday (the flights of Jul 29, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
FRONTIER · FLIGHT F9 2890
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, September 30 Today
F9 2890 · DEN → AUS
departs 8:52 PM MT · arrives 12:07 AM CT
Forecast issued Wed 4:00 PM ET · 7h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Thu 10/1 50%
Fri 10/2 37%
Sat 10/3 31%
Sun 10/4 30%
Mon 10/5 30%
Tue 10/6 21%
Odds over time
Arrive at AUS more than 15 minutes late?
35%
chance · ±0 pts
−38 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
35%
Leave 15+ late
38%
Arrive 1h+ late
10%
Cancelled
<1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
25%
50%
75%
100%
2.9d
2d
1d
12h
Now
Departs
Lands
Arrive at AUS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 28% · changed −38 pts in 24h
−38 pts
35%
Yes 35%
No 65%
Leave DEN more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 30% · changed −17 pts in 24h
−17 pts
38%
Yes 38%
No 62%
Arrive at AUS more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 8% · changed −15 pts in 24h
−15 pts
10%
Yes 10%
No 90%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to AUS?
On time or early
65%
15–30 min late
11%
30 min–1 hour late
13%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 1,100 ft forecast at AUS that day
↑
F9's recent on-time record
↑
8pm departures from DEN are often late
↓
Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at DEN
Weather at each end
DEN (origin)
Gusts 15 kt Ceiling 7,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
AUS (destination)
Gusts 24 kt Ceiling 1,100 ft Visibility 6 mi Precip 0.14 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.