F9 2959 · IAD → FLL

departs 6:09 PM ET · arrives 8:52 PM ET

Forecast issued Wed 6:00 AM ET · 12h before departure

Arrive at FLL more than 15 minutes late?

48% chance · ±0 pts +18 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to FLL?

On time or early
50%
15–30 min late
18%
30 min–1 hour late
15%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
6%
Cancelled
5%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ F9's recent on-time record

↑ 0.3 in of rain forecast at FLL that day

↑ This flight has been late 33% of the time recently

↓ Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at IAD

Weather at each end

IAD (origin) Gusts10 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility7 mi Precipnone

FLL (destination) Gusts17 kt Ceiling3,500 ft Visibility5 mi Precip0.34 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

F9 2959 · IAD → FLL

Odds over time

How late will it get to FLL?