F9 3364 · DTW → MCO

departs 6:55 PM ET · arrives 9:41 PM ET

Forecast issued Tue 6:00 PM ET · 25h before departure

Arrive at MCO more than 15 minutes late?

24% chance · ±2 pts +11 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to MCO?

On time or early
75%
15–30 min late
3%
30 min–1 hour late
11%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Arrivals into MCO at that hour are often late

↑ F9's recent on-time record

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average

↓ DTW usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

DTW (origin) Gusts14 kt Ceiling6,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

MCO (destination) Gusts11 kt Ceiling7,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.03 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

F9 3364 · DTW → MCO

Odds over time

How late will it get to MCO?