Schedule: a typical Wednesday (the flights of Jul 29, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
FRONTIER · FLIGHT F9 4070
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, September 30 Today
F9 4070 · DEN → DFW
departs 2:55 PM MT · arrives 6:03 PM CT
Forecast issued Wed 6:00 PM ET · 1h after departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Fri 10/2 64%
Mon 10/5 30%
Tue 10/6 18%
Odds over time
Arrive at DFW more than 15 minutes late?
87%
chance · ±0 pts
+3 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
Arrive 15+ late
87%
Leave 15+ late
55%
Arrive 1h+ late
62%
Cancelled
7%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
25%
50%
75%
100%
2.9d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Now
Lands
Arrive at DFW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 78% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
87%
Yes 87%
No 13%
Leave DEN more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 52% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
55%
Yes 55%
No 45%
Arrive at DFW more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 47% · changed +31 pts in 24h
+31 pts
62%
Yes 62%
No 38%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed +5 pts in 24h
+5 pts
7%
Yes 7%
No 93%
How late will it get to DFW?
On time or early
13%
15–30 min late
16%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
36%
Over 2 hours late
21%
Cancelled
7%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Gusts to 30 kt, 0.4 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at DFW that day
↑
Arrivals into DFW at that hour are often late
↑
DFW is prone to delays
↓
Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
DEN (origin)
Gusts 20 kt Ceiling 8,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.04 in
DFW (destination)
Gusts 30 kt Ceiling 2,000 ft Visibility 5 mi Precip 0.41 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.