F9 4252 · SLC → DEN

departs 4:10 PM MT · arrives 5:48 PM MT

Forecast issued Wed 2:00 PM ET · 4h before departure

Arrive at DEN more than 15 minutes late?

29% chance · ±0 pts −40 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to DEN?

On time or early
71%
15–30 min late
6%
30 min–1 hour late
13%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Arrivals into DEN at that hour are often late

↑ F9's recent on-time record

↑ Mostly benign weather forecast at DEN

↓ Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at SLC

Weather at each end

SLC (origin) Gusts8 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precip0.02 in

DEN (destination) Gusts15 kt Ceiling7,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.04 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

F9 4252 · SLC → DEN

Odds over time

How late will it get to DEN?