Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

FRONTIER · FLIGHT F9 4671 LANDED 6:59 AM MT, ~1 MIN LATE · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Wednesday, September 30 Yesterday

F9 4671 · DTW → PHX

took off 6:12 AM ET · landed 6:59 AM MT (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Wed 10:00 PM ET · 16h after departure

Arrive at PHX more than 15 minutes late?

17% chance · ±0 pts +5 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ F9's recent on-time record

↑ PHX is prone to delays

↑ This flight has been late 21% of the time recently

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at DTW

Weather at each end

DTW (origin) Gusts8 kt Ceiling2,800 ft Visibility6 mi Precip0.04 in

PHX (destination) Gusts9 kt Ceiling11,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

F9 4671 · DTW → PHX

Odds over time