Schedule: a typical Wednesday (the flights of Jul 29, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
FRONTIER · FLIGHT F9 4793
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, September 30 Today
F9 4793 · FAR → DEN
departs 2:33 PM CT · arrives 3:38 PM MT
Forecast issued Wed 1:00 PM ET · 2h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Fri 10/2 12%
Sat 10/3 14%
Mon 10/5 19%
Odds over time
Arrive at DEN more than 15 minutes late?
27%
chance · ±0 pts
−12 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.
Arrive 15+ late
27%
Leave 15+ late
25%
Arrive 1h+ late
8%
Cancelled
<1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
2.8d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Now
Departs
Lands
Arrive at DEN more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 12% · changed −12 pts in 24h
−12 pts
27%
Yes 27%
No 73%
Leave FAR more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 11% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
25%
Yes 25%
No 75%
Arrive at DEN more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed −8 pts in 24h
−8 pts
8%
Yes 8%
No 92%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to DEN?
On time or early
73%
15–30 min late
8%
30 min–1 hour late
11%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Arrivals into DEN at that hour are often late
↑
F9's recent on-time record
↑
Mostly benign weather forecast at DEN
↓
Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average
↓
FAR usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
FAR (origin)
Gusts 18 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
DEN (destination)
Gusts 18 kt Ceiling 6,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.05 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.