Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

FRONTIER · FLIGHT F9 9418 LANDED 5:23 PM MT, ~8 MIN LATE · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Wednesday, September 30

F9 9418 · DEN → SLC

took off 4:24 PM MT · landed 5:23 PM MT (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Wed 10:00 PM ET · 4h after departure

Arrive at SLC more than 15 minutes late?

46% chance · ±1 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ F9's recent on-time record

↑ 4pm departures from DEN are often late

↑ Other factors

↓ Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at SLC

Weather at each end

DEN (origin) Gusts20 kt Ceiling8,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.03 in

SLC (destination) Gusts17 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

F9 9418 · DEN → SLC

Odds over time