Schedule: a typical Wednesday (the flights of Jul 29, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
ALLEGIANT · FLIGHT G4 1263
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, September 30 Yesterday
G4 1263 · MLI → SFB
departs 5:38 PM CT · arrives 9:10 PM ET
Forecast issued Wed 10:00 PM ET · 3h after departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Wed 9/30
Wed 10/7 18%
Odds over time
Arrive at SFB more than 15 minutes late?
30%
chance · ±2 pts
+5 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
Arrive 15+ late
30%
Leave 15+ late
34%
Arrive 1h+ late
13%
Cancelled
1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
2.8d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at SFB more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 30% · changed +5 pts in 24h
+5 pts
30%
Yes 30%
No 70%
Leave MLI more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 34% · changed +6 pts in 24h
+6 pts
34%
Yes 34%
No 66%
Arrive at SFB more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 13% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
13%
Yes 13%
No 87%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to SFB?
On time or early
69%
15–30 min late
8%
30 min–1 hour late
9%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
6%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Arrivals into SFB at that hour are often late
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
Cloud base down to 1,300 ft, visibility down to 1.25 mi, 1.6 in of rain forecast at MLI that day
↓
MLI usually runs smoothly
↓
Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
MLI (origin)
Gusts 19 kt Ceiling 1,300 ft Visibility 2 mi Precip 2.06 in
SFB (destination)
Gusts 8 kt Ceiling 7,500 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.21 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.