G4 1339 · SGF → SFB

took off 5:51 PM CT · landed 8:46 PM ET (scheduled 5:31 PM CT → 8:57 PM ET)

Forecast issued Wed 10:00 PM ET · 4h after departure

Arrive at SFB more than 15 minutes late?

Not late chance · ±1 pts −1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to SFB?

RESOLVED

On time or early
✓
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ This flight has been late nan% of the time recently

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ Arrivals into SFB at that hour are often late

↓ Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

SGF (origin) Gusts24 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

SFB (destination) Gusts8 kt Ceiling7,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.21 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

G4 1339 · SGF → SFB

Odds over time

How late did it get to SFB?