Schedule: a typical summer Wednesday (the flights of Jul 29, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ALLEGIANT · FLIGHT G4 1866
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, September 30
G4 1866 · AVL → PIE
departs 12:47 PM ET · arrives 2:27 PM ET
Forecast issued Wed 10:00 PM ET · 9h after departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Wed 9/30
Wed 10/7 12%
Odds over time
Arrive at PIE more than 15 minutes late?
18%
chance · ±0 pts
+6 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
Arrive 15+ late
18%
Leave 15+ late
18%
Arrive 1h+ late
8%
Cancelled
1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
2.8d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at PIE more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 18% · changed +6 pts in 24h
+6 pts
18%
Yes 18%
No 82%
Leave AVL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 18% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
18%
Yes 18%
No 82%
Arrive at PIE more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 8% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
8%
Yes 8%
No 92%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to PIE?
On time or early
81%
15–30 min late
0%
30 min–1 hour late
11%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Other factors
↓
Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average
↓
AVL is quiet at that time
Weather at each end
AVL (origin)
Gusts 8 kt Ceiling 100 ft Visibility 0.25 mi Precip 0.02 in
PIE (destination)
Gusts 22 kt Ceiling 2,500 ft Visibility 1.75 mi Precip 0.20 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.