Schedule: a typical Wednesday (the flights of Jul 29, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
ALLEGIANT · FLIGHT G4 2003
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, September 30 Today
G4 2003 · SFB → CVG
departs 7:40 PM ET · arrives 9:46 PM ET
Forecast issued Wed 11:00 AM ET · 9h before departure
Watch this flight
Odds over time
Arrive at CVG more than 15 minutes late?
26%
chance · ±0 pts
−2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
26%
Leave 15+ late
18%
Arrive 1h+ late
7%
Cancelled
<1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
2.9d
2d
1d
12h
Now
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at CVG more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 26% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
26%
Yes 26%
No 74%
Leave SFB more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 25% · changed −5 pts in 24h
−5 pts
18%
Yes 18%
No 82%
Arrive at CVG more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 7% · changed −3 pts in 24h
−3 pts
7%
Yes 7%
No 93%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
<1%
Yes <1%
No 100%
How late will it get to CVG?
On time or early
73%
15–30 min late
9%
30 min–1 hour late
11%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
This flight has been late 21% of the time recently
↑
G4's recent on-time record
↓
Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at CVG
Weather at each end
SFB (origin)
Gusts 12 kt Ceiling 9,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.05 in
CVG (destination)
Gusts 11 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.