G4 224 · AVL → PGD

departs 7:59 AM ET · arrives 9:52 AM ET

Forecast issued Wed 2:00 AM ET · 6h before departure

Arrive at PGD more than 15 minutes late?

11% chance · ±0 pts +0 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to PGD?

On time or early
88%
15–30 min late
4%
30 min–1 hour late
1%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 0.4 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at PGD that day

↑ G4's recent on-time record

↑ AVL is prone to delays

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ Arrivals into PGD at that hour are usually not late

Weather at each end

AVL (origin) Gusts11 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility4 mi Precipnone

PGD (destination) Gusts11 kt Ceiling6,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.36 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

G4 224 · AVL → PGD

Odds over time

How late will it get to PGD?