G4 226 · AVL → PIE

took off 1:19 PM ET · landed 2:35 PM ET (scheduled 1:12 PM ET → 3:06 PM ET)

Forecast issued Wed 10:00 PM ET · 9h after departure

Arrive at PIE more than 15 minutes late?

Not late chance · ±0 pts +4 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to PIE?

RESOLVED

On time or early
✓
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 1pm departures from AVL are often late

↓ Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average

↓ AVL is quiet at that time

Weather at each end

AVL (origin) Gusts8 kt Ceiling100 ft Visibility0.25 mi Precip0.02 in

PIE (destination) Gusts22 kt Ceiling2,500 ft Visibility1.75 mi Precip0.20 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

G4 226 · AVL → PIE

Odds over time

How late did it get to PIE?