G4 2303 · MOT → AZA

departs 8:44 PM CT · arrives 9:54 PM MT

Forecast issued Wed 10:00 PM ET · 0h before departure

Arrive at AZA more than 15 minutes late?

20% chance · ±2 pts +5 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to AZA?

On time or early
79%
15–30 min late
7%
30 min–1 hour late
8%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ AZA is prone to delays

↑ Arrivals into AZA at that hour are often late

↓ MOT usually runs smoothly

↓ Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

MOT (origin) Gusts21 kt Ceiling7,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

AZA (destination) Gusts9 kt Ceiling5,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

G4 2303 · MOT → AZA

Odds over time

How late will it get to AZA?