G4 2305 · AZA → RAP

departs 7:19 AM MT · arrives 10:33 AM MT

Forecast issued Wed 10:00 PM ET · 12h after departure

Arrive at RAP more than 15 minutes late?

7% chance · ±0 pts +1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to RAP?

On time or early
92%
15–30 min late
4%
30 min–1 hour late
1%
1–2 hours late
<1%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Other factors

↑ G4's recent on-time record

↑ This flight has been late 24% of the time recently

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ 7am departures from AZA are usually not late

Weather at each end

AZA (origin) Gusts9 kt Ceiling5,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

RAP (destination) Gusts25 kt Ceiling9,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

G4 2305 · AZA → RAP

Odds over time

How late will it get to RAP?