Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

ALLEGIANT · FLIGHT G4 2305 LANDED 10:21 AM MT, ~12 MIN LATE · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Wednesday, September 30

G4 2305 · IWA → RAP

took off 5:28 PM MSK · landed 10:21 AM MT (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Wed 10:00 PM ET · 12h after departure

Arrive at RAP more than 15 minutes late?

16% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ G4's recent on-time record

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ This route's recent record

↓ Other factors

↓ Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

IWA (origin) Gusts— Ceiling— Visibility— Precip—

RAP (destination) Gusts25 kt Ceiling9,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

G4 2305 · IWA → RAP

Odds over time