G4 243 · BOS → AVL

took off 10:38 AM ET · landed 12:18 PM ET (scheduled 10:30 AM ET → 12:50 PM ET)

Forecast issued Wed 2:00 PM ET · 4h after departure

Arrive at AVL more than 15 minutes late?

Not late chance · ±1 pts +8 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to AVL?

RESOLVED

On time or early
✓
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 700 ft, visibility down to 2 mi forecast at BOS that day

↑ BOS is prone to delays

↑ Cloud base down to 100 ft, visibility down to 0.25 mi forecast at AVL that day

↓ AVL usually runs smoothly

↓ Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

BOS (origin) Gusts8 kt Ceiling700 ft Visibility2 mi Precip0.02 in

AVL (destination) Gusts5 kt Ceiling100 ft Visibility0.25 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

G4 243 · BOS → AVL

Odds over time

How late did it get to AVL?