Schedule: a typical Wednesday (the flights of Jul 29, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
ALLEGIANT · FLIGHT G4 2479
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, September 30 Yesterday
G4 2479 · TOL → PGD
departs 5:38 PM ET · arrives 8:19 PM ET
Forecast issued Wed 10:00 PM ET · 4h after departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Wed 9/30
Wed 10/7 27%
Odds over time
Arrive at PGD more than 15 minutes late?
33%
chance · ±0 pts
+6 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
Arrive 15+ late
33%
Leave 15+ late
26%
Arrive 1h+ late
15%
Cancelled
1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
2.8d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at PGD more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 33% · changed +6 pts in 24h
+6 pts
33%
Yes 33%
No 67%
Leave TOL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 27% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
26%
Yes 26%
No 74%
Arrive at PGD more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 15% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
15%
Yes 15%
No 85%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to PGD?
On time or early
66%
15–30 min late
12%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
9%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
5pm departures from TOL are often late
↑
This flight has been late 21% of the time recently
↓
Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average
↓
TOL usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
TOL (origin)
Gusts 6 kt Ceiling 7,300 ft Visibility 5 mi Precip 0.07 in
PGD (destination)
Gusts 16 kt Ceiling 3,000 ft Visibility 8 mi Precip 0.01 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.