Schedule: a typical summer Wednesday (the flights of Jul 29, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ALLEGIANT · FLIGHT G4 2598
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, September 30
G4 2598 · PIE → ATW
departs 11:00 AM ET · arrives 12:52 PM CT
Forecast issued Wed 10:00 PM ET · 11h after departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Wed 9/30
Today 16%
Mon 10/5 9%
Fri 10/9 9%
Odds over time
Arrive at ATW more than 15 minutes late?
15%
chance · ±0 pts
−3 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
Arrive 15+ late
15%
Leave 15+ late
21%
Arrive 1h+ late
6%
Cancelled
<1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
2.9d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at ATW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 15% · changed −3 pts in 24h
−3 pts
15%
Yes 15%
No 85%
Leave PIE more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 21% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
21%
Yes 21%
No 79%
Arrive at ATW more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
6%
Yes 6%
No 94%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to ATW?
On time or early
84%
15–30 min late
2%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 400 ft forecast at ATW that day
↑
G4's recent on-time record
↑
Arrivals into ATW at that hour are often late
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at PIE
↓
Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
PIE (origin)
Gusts 22 kt Ceiling 2,500 ft Visibility 1.75 mi Precip 0.20 in
ATW (destination)
Gusts 11 kt Ceiling 700 ft Visibility 7 mi Precip 0.22 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.