Schedule: FAA flight plans.

ALLEGIANT · FLIGHT G4 2599 PROBABLY LANDED (THE FAA HASN'T CONFIRMED THE LANDING TIME)

Wednesday, September 30

G4 2599 · MDT → PIE

took off 6:12 PM ET · probably landed (not confirmed) (scheduled 5:57 PM ET → 8:37 PM ET)

Forecast issued Wed 10:00 PM ET · 4h after departure

Arrive at PIE more than 15 minutes late?

33% chance · ±0 pts +11 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to PIE?

On time or early
66%
15–30 min late
5%
30 min–1 hour late
14%
1–2 hours late
8%
Over 2 hours late
6%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Mostly benign weather forecast at PIE

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ This flight has been late 26% of the time recently

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at MDT

↓ Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

MDT (origin) Gusts6 kt Ceiling4,600 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

PIE (destination) Gusts22 kt Ceiling2,500 ft Visibility1.75 mi Precip0.20 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

G4 2599 · MDT → PIE

Odds over time

How late will it get to PIE?