Schedule: a typical Wednesday (the flights of Jul 29, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
ALLEGIANT · FLIGHT G4 2614
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, September 30 Yesterday
G4 2614 · FSD → PIE
departs 1:06 PM CT · arrives 5:15 PM ET
Forecast issued Wed 10:00 PM ET · 8h after departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Wed 9/30
Wed 10/7 12%
Odds over time
Arrive at PIE more than 15 minutes late?
33%
chance · ±0 pts
+8 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
Arrive 15+ late
33%
Leave 15+ late
22%
Arrive 1h+ late
16%
Cancelled
<1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
2.8d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at PIE more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 33% · changed +8 pts in 24h
+8 pts
33%
Yes 33%
No 67%
Leave FSD more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 22% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
22%
Yes 22%
No 78%
Arrive at PIE more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 16% · changed +6 pts in 24h
+6 pts
16%
Yes 16%
No 84%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to PIE?
On time or early
66%
15–30 min late
4%
30 min–1 hour late
13%
1–2 hours late
10%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 200 ft, visibility down to 0.13 mi forecast at FSD that day
↑
Mostly benign weather forecast at PIE
↑
Arrivals into PIE at that hour are often late
↓
Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average
↓
FSD is quiet at that time
Weather at each end
FSD (origin)
Gusts 4 kt Ceiling 200 ft Visibility 0.13 mi Precip none
PIE (destination)
Gusts 22 kt Ceiling 2,500 ft Visibility 1.75 mi Precip 0.20 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.