Schedule: a typical Wednesday (the flights of Jul 29, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
ALLEGIANT · FLIGHT G4 2823
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, September 30 Today
G4 2823 · SFB → OKC
departs 3:32 PM ET · arrives 5:19 PM CT
Forecast issued Wed 8:00 PM ET · 4h after departure
Watch this flight
Odds over time
Arrive at OKC more than 15 minutes late?
60%
chance · ±0 pts
+20 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
Arrive 15+ late
60%
Leave 15+ late
37%
Arrive 1h+ late
26%
Cancelled
10%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
2.8d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at OKC more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 60% · changed +20 pts in 24h
+20 pts
60%
Yes 60%
No 40%
Leave SFB more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 37% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
37%
Yes 37%
No 63%
Arrive at OKC more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 26% · changed +10 pts in 24h
+10 pts
26%
Yes 26%
No 74%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 10% · changed +5 pts in 24h
+5 pts
10%
Yes 10%
No 90%
How late will it get to OKC?
On time or early
36%
15–30 min late
10%
30 min–1 hour late
21%
1–2 hours late
13%
Over 2 hours late
10%
Cancelled
10%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Gusts to 30 kt, visibility down to 0.75 mi, 2.8 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at OKC that day
↑
Mostly benign weather forecast at SFB
↑
3pm departures from SFB are often late
↓
Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average
↓
OKC usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
SFB (origin)
Gusts 8 kt Ceiling 7,500 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.21 in
OKC (destination)
Gusts 30 kt Ceiling 2,500 ft Visibility 1 mi Precip 1.91 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.