Schedule: a typical Wednesday (the flights of Jul 29, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
ALLEGIANT · FLIGHT G4 2842
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, September 30 Yesterday
G4 2842 · SBN → SFB
departs 12:16 PM ET · arrives 2:42 PM ET
Forecast issued Wed 10:00 PM ET · 10h after departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Wed 9/30
Wed 10/7 16%
Odds over time
Arrive at SFB more than 15 minutes late?
33%
chance · ±0 pts
+16 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
Arrive 15+ late
33%
Leave 15+ late
31%
Arrive 1h+ late
9%
Cancelled
1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
2.8d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at SFB more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 33% · changed +16 pts in 24h
+16 pts
33%
Yes 33%
No 67%
Leave SBN more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 31% · changed +8 pts in 24h
+8 pts
31%
Yes 31%
No 69%
Arrive at SFB more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 9% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
9%
Yes 9%
No 91%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 1% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to SFB?
On time or early
66%
15–30 min late
14%
30 min–1 hour late
9%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Mostly benign weather forecast at SFB
↑
This flight has been late 26% of the time recently
↑
Mostly benign weather forecast at SBN
↓
Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average
↓
SBN is quiet at that time
Weather at each end
SBN (origin)
Gusts 10 kt Ceiling 3,600 ft Visibility 5 mi Precip 0.42 in
SFB (destination)
Gusts 8 kt Ceiling 7,500 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.21 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.