Schedule: a typical Wednesday (the flights of Jul 29, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
ALLEGIANT · FLIGHT G4 2883
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, September 30 Today
G4 2883 · SFB → MDT
departs 11:00 AM ET · arrives 1:20 PM ET
Forecast issued Wed 9:00 AM ET · 2h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Thu 10/1 7%
Odds over time
Arrive at MDT more than 15 minutes late?
11%
chance · ±0 pts
−4 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.
Arrive 15+ late
11%
Leave 15+ late
9%
Arrive 1h+ late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
2.9d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Now
Departs
Lands
Arrive at MDT more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 14% · changed −4 pts in 24h
−4 pts
11%
Yes 11%
No 89%
Leave SFB more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 12% · changed −5 pts in 24h
−5 pts
9%
Yes 9%
No 91%
Arrive at MDT more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed −4 pts in 24h
−4 pts
3%
Yes 3%
No 97%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
<1%
Yes <1%
No 100%
How late will it get to MDT?
On time or early
89%
15–30 min late
2%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
<1%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
SFB is prone to delays
↑
This flight has been late 23% of the time recently
↑
G4's recent on-time record
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at MDT
↓
Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
SFB (origin)
Gusts 12 kt Ceiling 11,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.06 in
MDT (destination)
Gusts 9 kt Ceiling 4,700 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.