G4 2885 · SFB → SGF

took off 3:27 PM ET · landed 4:39 PM CT (scheduled 3:05 PM ET → 4:44 PM CT)

Forecast issued Wed 10:00 PM ET · 7h after departure

Arrive at SGF more than 15 minutes late?

Not late chance · ±0 pts +5 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to SGF?

RESOLVED

On time or early
✓
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Mostly benign weather forecast at SFB

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ 3pm departures from SFB are often late

↓ Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average

↓ SGF usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

SFB (origin) Gusts8 kt Ceiling7,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.21 in

SGF (destination) Gusts24 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

G4 2885 · SFB → SGF

Odds over time

How late did it get to SGF?