Schedule: a typical Wednesday (the flights of Jul 29, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
ALLEGIANT · FLIGHT G4 2920
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, September 30 Today
G4 2920 · SFB → MLI
departs 3:11 PM ET · arrives 4:48 PM CT
Forecast issued Wed 10:00 PM ET · 7h after departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Sun 10/4 7%
Odds over time
Arrive at MLI more than 15 minutes late?
31%
chance · ±0 pts
+10 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
Arrive 15+ late
31%
Leave 15+ late
30%
Arrive 1h+ late
8%
Cancelled
2%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
2.8d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at MLI more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 31% · changed +10 pts in 24h
+10 pts
31%
Yes 31%
No 69%
Leave SFB more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 30% · changed +7 pts in 24h
+7 pts
30%
Yes 30%
No 70%
Arrive at MLI more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 8% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
8%
Yes 8%
No 92%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 2% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to MLI?
On time or early
67%
15–30 min late
10%
30 min–1 hour late
13%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 1,300 ft, visibility down to 1.25 mi, 1.6 in of rain forecast at MLI that day
↑
Mostly benign weather forecast at SFB
↑
3pm departures from SFB are often late
↓
MLI usually runs smoothly
↓
Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
SFB (origin)
Gusts 8 kt Ceiling 7,500 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.21 in
MLI (destination)
Gusts 19 kt Ceiling 1,300 ft Visibility 2 mi Precip 2.06 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.