Schedule: a typical Wednesday (the flights of Jul 29, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
ALLEGIANT · FLIGHT G4 2938
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, September 30 Yesterday
G4 2938 · SGF → SFB
departs 12:50 PM CT · arrives 4:12 PM ET
Forecast issued Wed 10:00 PM ET · 8h after departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Wed 9/30
Wed 10/7 20%
Odds over time
Arrive at SFB more than 15 minutes late?
22%
chance · ±0 pts
+4 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
Arrive 15+ late
22%
Leave 15+ late
27%
Arrive 1h+ late
16%
Cancelled
2%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
2.9d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at SFB more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 24% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
22%
Yes 22%
No 78%
Leave SGF more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 27% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
27%
Yes 27%
No 73%
Arrive at SFB more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 16% · changed +7 pts in 24h
+7 pts
16%
Yes 16%
No 84%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 2% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to SFB?
On time or early
76%
15–30 min late
8%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
10%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
This flight has been late 29% of the time recently
↑
Arrivals into SFB at that hour are often late
↑
Mostly benign weather forecast at SFB
↓
Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
SGF (origin)
Gusts 24 kt
Ceiling none (clear)
Visibility 10+ mi
Precip none
SFB (destination)
Gusts 8 kt
Ceiling 7,500 ft
Visibility 10+ mi
Precip 0.21 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.