Schedule: a typical summer Wednesday (the flights of Jul 29, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ALLEGIANT · FLIGHT G4 3003
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, September 30
G4 3003 · RFD → SRQ
departs 11:19 AM CT · arrives 3:01 PM ET
Forecast issued Wed 10:00 PM ET · 10h after departure
Watch this flight
Odds over time
Arrive at SRQ more than 15 minutes late?
27%
chance · ±0 pts
+1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
Arrive 15+ late
27%
Leave 15+ late
19%
Arrive 1h+ late
16%
Cancelled
2%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
2.8d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at SRQ more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 27% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
27%
Yes 27%
No 73%
Leave RFD more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 19% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
19%
Yes 19%
No 81%
Arrive at SRQ more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 16% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
16%
Yes 16%
No 84%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 2% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to SRQ?
On time or early
71%
15–30 min late
5%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
11%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 600 ft, visibility down to 1.75 mi, 0.7 in of rain forecast at RFD that day
↑
1.7 in of rain forecast at SRQ that day
↑
This flight has been late 21% of the time recently
↓
Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
RFD (origin)
Gusts 19 kt Ceiling 600 ft Visibility 1.75 mi Precip 0.98 in
SRQ (destination)
Gusts 26 kt Ceiling 1,500 ft Visibility 0.75 mi Precip 4.49 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.