Schedule: a typical summer Wednesday (the flights of Jul 29, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ALLEGIANT · FLIGHT G4 3015
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, September 30
G4 3015 · MDT → SRQ
departs 7:10 PM ET · arrives 9:39 PM ET
Forecast issued Wed 10:00 PM ET · 3h after departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Wed 9/30
Wed 10/7 20%
Odds over time
Arrive at SRQ more than 15 minutes late?
30%
chance · ±0 pts
+9 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
Arrive 15+ late
30%
Leave 15+ late
28%
Arrive 1h+ late
10%
Cancelled
33%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
2.8d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at SRQ more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 30% · changed +9 pts in 24h
+9 pts
30%
Yes 30%
No 70%
Leave MDT more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 27% · changed +6 pts in 24h
+6 pts
28%
Yes 28%
No 72%
Arrive at SRQ more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 10% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
10%
Yes 10%
No 90%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 28% · changed +32 pts in 24h
+32 pts
33%
Yes 33%
No 67%
How late will it get to SRQ?
On time or early
47%
15–30 min late
6%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
33%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
1.7 in of rain forecast at SRQ that day
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
MDT is prone to delays
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at MDT
↓
Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
MDT (origin)
Gusts 6 kt Ceiling 4,600 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
SRQ (destination)
Gusts 26 kt Ceiling 1,500 ft Visibility 0.75 mi Precip 4.49 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.